A23 – Calculation of the Alliance’s Overall War Capability

By叶 其泉

Calculation of the overall war capability of the alliance

Ye Qiquan’s first appearance: December 9, 2023

Based on the “National Overall War Capability Calculation Model,” Ye Qiquan expanded and established the “Military Group Overall War Capability Calculation Model.” This model is used to calculate the overall war capability of military groups.

summary

According to calculations from a new system for assessing the intensity of war among nations and groups, the United States and its allies are unable to defeat China in the theaters of war around East Asia. Faced with China’s defensive yet offensive actions in East Asia, the US and its allies are virtually helpless. In various scenarios and levels of conventional military conflict, the US-led alliance cannot gain an advantage. The premise that the US-led alliance will not suffer a major military defeat depends on the management and control of the war by politicians on both sides. Avoiding significant military losses to the enemy while ensuring one’s own side suffers minimal losses will be a peculiar characteristic of potential wars around East Asia. However, if the conflict spirals out of control and escalates into a full-scale war, there is a very high probability of nuclear war. Once public opinion in Western countries supporting nuclear war is aroused, Western politicians will be powerless to stop it. This forces China to assume the primary responsibility for curbing Western public opinion advocating the use of nuclear weapons. China may need to further rethink its nuclear armament doctrine to align with the objective needs of global security and stability, as well as the world’s expectations of China.

(Completed at the end of 2023 , no updates, just copied from this part)

Note 1: This is an attachment to an internal email. It is not a complete document, but a part copied from a longer document. Note 2: The predictions made under this calculation model that “the war in Ukraine will continue for a long time between the L1 and L2 lines” and “the war will not end or completely cease by the end of 2026” have been proven by the course of the war in Ukraine for more than three years.

https://bookstore.pppnet.net/zh/downloads/calculating-group-war-strength/

联盟总体战争能力计算

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