3-4 The moderate faction in China hinders national reunification

By叶 其泉
Chinese Current Affairs Political Forecasting and In-Depth Analysis, Volume 1, Issue 3, August 2026

The fears of China’s moderates have become an obstacle to national reunification.

Ye Qiquan

First release date:

 Tuesday, July 14, 2026

 

Reference data element: (APA)
 

Ye Qiquan. (2026). The fears of China’s moderates become an obstacle to national reunification. Political Forecasting and In-Depth Analysis. August 2026. Vol. 1 (3), 31-39.

 
summary:

Because China’s strategic assessment system is rooted in Western models, the Chinese political system is filled with political elites cultivated under these Western models. Even if these elites still uphold Chinese patriotism, their assessments of overall national strength, overall war capability, and overall competitiveness are entirely subservient to the Western assessment system. This makes them unanimously opposed to China’s plan to unify Taiwan by force. Their opposition is based on their fears, which are mainly reflected in the following pillars: China’s overall national strength cannot counter the US bloc; the intervention of Japan and South Korea will drag China into a long-term process of national power depletion; the continued resistance from the Taiwanese people will cause China to suffer long-term losses; and the military unification of Taiwan will set back China’s development process. However, Ye Qiquan’s views are completely opposite to theirs. This is reflected in the following: China’s overall national war capability surpassed that of the United States by 2022; Japan and South Korea, initially inevitable participants in a Sino-US war, would inevitably join China’s camp in the later stages; military unification is a shortcut to rapidly establishing a new East Asian order; the new East Asian order is the cornerstone of the Sino-Asian empire; the new East Asian order is the cornerstone that forces the United States to choose the “North American-East Asian axis”; the establishment of the next generation of world order will inevitably involve a period of chaos; the Taiwan base, the new East Asian order, and China’s military unification action are key to shortening this period of chaos; compared to other options, the “North American-East Asian axis” is more readily accepted by the Americans.

 

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3-4 中国稳健派的恐惧成为国家统一的阻力

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