4- Risks from Europe in China’s Unification Process

Ye Qiquan believes that the risk to China’s unification does not lie in the Asian alliance of the United States, Japan, and South Korea. Europe is the biggest variable in China’s unification process. Furthermore, whether or not Europe participates in wars in Asia also significantly impacts its prospects.

Ye Qiquan does not believe that the main risk for China initiating its unification process comes from the United States and its Asian allies. The biggest variable and risk in China’s unification process is the overall involvement of Europe in a war against China. This is because Europe is, in fact, a political force globally with strong hostility towards China. In the event of a military conflict between China and the United States, Europe will not only face passive pressure to participate but also a strong “endogenous impulse” to completely defeat China. If Europe can eliminate the probability of significant defeat, it may actively participate in the war against China. Correspondingly, China has consistently underestimated the hostility from Europe. This could lead to significant errors in China’s contingency plans. Once Europe joins the war against China, it will not only incur significant political costs during the war but will also be unable to withstand the political defeat afterward. China’s strategy for dealing with Europe will be closely aligned with its political objectives: to substantially prevent Europe from becoming a base for the United States’ war of attrition and to force the United States to accept a next-generation imperial order based on the “US-China axis.”

Risk-Consumption Warfare Support Base from Europe in China’s Unification Process; US-China Axis Order; Imperial Order; China-US Military Conflict