05-Predicting Hong Kong’s Political System After 2047

The attempt to implement “one country, two systems” in Hong Kong has, in fact, failed. Since 2003, mainland Chinese people have gradually become disillusioned with the reality of “one country, two systems” in Hong Kong, and this disillusionment has gradually developed into anger. Since 2016, voices of opposition to the prospects of “one country, two systems” in Taiwan have also emerged among mainland Chinese people. By 2019, there was clear opposition to the prospects of “one country, two systems” in Taiwan.

The “one country, two systems” experiment in Hong Kong has already yielded a clear result: it has increased the cost of governance for China, making its eventual demise inevitable. The chances of Hong Kong continuing under the “one country, two systems” framework after 2047 are extremely slim. It’s even possible that “one country, two systems” in Hong Kong might end prematurely.

Predicting Hong Kong’s political system after 2047

The attempt to implement “one country, two systems” in Hong Kong has in fact failed.

The end of one country, two systems

The political will of the people of mainland China is to oppose “one country, two systems”.

China’s true and substantial unification